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T20 World Cup 2024: Can Pakistan make the super 8? Qualification scenarios for all teams Explained

T20 World Cup 2024:  In the ongoing T20 World Cup 2024, Pakistan’s cricket team has faced setbacks, including a recent six-run loss to India. This defeat follows an unexpected loss to the United States in their first group stage match. Despite a strong performance from bowlers Naseem Shah and Haris Rauf, who each took three wickets and limited India to 119 runs, Pakistan couldn’t take advantage due to India’s disciplined bowling, especially by Jasprit Bumrah.

This loss not only reduces Pakistan’s chances of advancing to the Super 8 stage but also highlights the challenges they are facing in the tournament.

T20 World Cup 2024: Super 8 qualification scenarios – Will Pakistan advance?
T20 World Cup 2024: Super 8 qualification scenarios – Will Pakistan advance? | ICC

Super 8: What is the playing format for T20 World Cup 2024?

In the opening round of the T20 World Cup 2024, each team will play against four group-stage opponents once. The top two teams from each group will progress to the Super 8s, which commence on June 19. The Super 8s will be entirely hosted in the West Indies, with eight teams divided into two groups of four. The top two teams from each group will advance to the semi-finals, where the winner of Group A will face the runner-up of Group B.

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Group stage and Super 8 format  

Throughout both stages, teams will earn two points for a win and one for a game with no result, with tied matches being decided by a Super Over. The revamped group stage and Super 8 format aim to rekindle interest in the competition and make the path to the semi-finals more challenging.

However, unless there are frequent upsets, the competition is expected to intensify only gradually, as teams like India will face relatively weaker opponents such as Ireland, USA, and Canada in three of their four group stage fixtures. As the tournament progresses, each team’s strategy to advance to the Super Eight stage will become clearer.

Pakistan Eliminated? Full T20 World Cup Super 8 Qualification Scenario Explained

Pakistan currently has no points after two matches, making their chances of qualifying quite slim. The team, led by Babar Azam, must win their remaining matches against Canada and Ireland and hope that both the United States and Canada do not secure any more wins.

Even if Pakistan wins both matches and the United States loses their remaining two games, qualification for the Super 8 stage will hinge on the Net Run Rate (NRR). Both teams would then have 4 points from 4 matches, and Pakistan would need several favourable outcomes to advance.

T20 World Cup 2024: Super 8 qualification scenarios – Will Pakistan advance?
T20 World Cup 2024: Super 8 qualification scenarios – Will Pakistan advance? | ICC

As the tournament progresses, here’s a look at what each team needs to do to advance to the Super Eight stage.

Group A

Teams: India, United States, Canada, Pakistan, Ireland

India (4 points | 1.455 NRR): With two wins and a strong net run rate, India is in a good position. A victory against either the USA or Canada will likely secure their progression.United States (4 points | 0.626 NRR): The USA has had a perfect start. Winning either of their remaining matches against India or Ireland should be enough to advance.Canada (2 points | -0.274 NRR): Canada needs to win their upcoming matches against Pakistan and India to stay in contention. Beating Pakistan is crucial.Pakistan (0 points | -0.150 NRR): Pakistan must win both of their remaining games against Canada and Ireland and improve their net run rate. They also need either India or the USA to lose their matches.Ireland (0 points | -1.712 NRR): Ireland needs to win against the USA and Pakistan and hope other results favour them, which is a tough ask given their current position.

Group B

Teams: Scotland, Australia, Namibia, England, Oman

Scotland (5 points | 2.164 NRR): A win against Australia will confirm their progression. They might already have enough points to advance, depending on other results.Australia (4 points | 1.875 NRR): Another win, particularly against Scotland, will likely secure their spot in the next round.Namibia (2 points | -0.309 NRR): Namibia needs to win their remaining matches against Australia and England, which will be challenging.England (1 point | -1.800 NRR): England must win their remaining games against Oman and Namibia and hope for favourable outcomes in other matches, particularly the Australia-Scotland game.Oman (0 points | -1.613 NRR): Oman cannot progress but have shown competitive spirit.

Group C

Teams: Afghanistan, West Indies, Uganda, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand

Afghanistan (4 points | 5.225 NRR): One more win against either Papua New Guinea or West Indies will secure their spot.West Indies (4 points | 3.574 NRR): A win against either New Zealand or Afghanistan is needed for progression.Uganda (2 points | -4.217 NRR): Uganda needs a big win against New Zealand and other results to go in their favour.Papua New Guinea (0 points | -0.434 NRR): PNG is unlikely to advance but will aim to gain experience and potentially cause an upset.New Zealand (0 points | -4.200 NRR): New Zealand needs to win all their remaining matches against West Indies, Uganda, and Papua New Guinea.

Group D

Teams: South Africa, Bangladesh, Netherlands, Nepal, Sri Lanka

South Africa (6 points | 0.603 NRR): South Africa is close to securing their spot in the Super Eight.Bangladesh (2 points | 0.075 NRR): Beating the Netherlands is crucial. Winning against Nepal could also secure their progression.Netherlands (2 points | 0.024 NRR): The Dutch need wins against Bangladesh and Nepal to advance.Nepal (0 points | -0.539 NRR): Nepal must win all their remaining matches to have a chance, which is challenging given their current form.Sri Lanka (0 points | -0.777 NRR): Sri Lanka needs big wins against Nepal and the Netherlands and must rely on other results to favour them.

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